Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.000114 0.000125 0.000137 0.000151 0.000167 0.000183 0.000202
2025-12-14 0.000090 0.000106 0.000124 0.000147 0.000175 0.000208 0.000249
2025-12-21 0.000074 0.000092 0.000113 0.000142 0.000178 0.000224 0.000286
2025-12-28 0.000065 0.000084 0.000109 0.000142 0.000188 0.000247 0.000334
2026-01-04 0.000059 0.000079 0.000105 0.000143 0.000197 0.000271 0.000383
2026-01-11 0.000053 0.000073 0.000100 0.000141 0.000201 0.000287 0.000424
2026-01-18 0.000049 0.000069 0.000098 0.000142 0.000209 0.000309 0.000475
2026-01-25 0.000045 0.000065 0.000094 0.000140 0.000212 0.000324 0.000516
2026-02-01 0.000042 0.000062 0.000091 0.000139 0.000218 0.000343 0.000565
2026-02-08 0.000038 0.000058 0.000088 0.000137 0.000219 0.000355 0.000606
2026-02-15 0.000035 0.000054 0.000084 0.000134 0.000220 0.000366 0.000643
2026-02-22 0.000034 0.000053 0.000083 0.000135 0.000228 0.000390 0.000707
2026-03-01 0.000032 0.000051 0.000082 0.000138 0.000238 0.000419 0.000787
2026-03-08 0.000030 0.000048 0.000079 0.000135 0.000239 0.000432 0.000839
2026-03-15 0.000027 0.000045 0.000074 0.000130 0.000235 0.000436 0.000873
2026-03-22 0.000026 0.000043 0.000073 0.000130 0.000242 0.000461 0.000954
2026-03-29 0.000024 0.000042 0.000072 0.000131 0.000250 0.000488 0.001043
2026-04-05 0.000023 0.000040 0.000070 0.000130 0.000252 0.000504 0.001109
2026-04-12 0.000022 0.000039 0.000069 0.000130 0.000258 0.000531 0.001206
2026-04-19 0.000021 0.000037 0.000067 0.000128 0.000260 0.000546 0.001275
2026-04-26 0.000020 0.000036 0.000065 0.000128 0.000265 0.000570 0.001369
2026-05-03 0.000019 0.000034 0.000063 0.000126 0.000265 0.000582 0.001438
2026-05-10 0.000017 0.000032 0.000061 0.000123 0.000264 0.000592 0.001501